/story/117674/蔣明誠投資觀點/issue/8
蔣明誠投資觀點 - 經濟成長轉為衰退疑慮 | Penana
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蔣明誠投資觀點
ISSUE #8
Author: 蔣明誠「明誠學院」創辦人
蔣明誠投資觀點
Author: 蔣明誠「明誠學院」創辦人
ISSUE #8
經濟成長轉為衰退疑慮
No Plagiarism!eSUCGBdw8BPgD6DWXoNOposted on PＥNAＮＡ

去年全球經濟高成長，市場原先就預估今年經濟成長率不如去年，但可能僅是較低的成長。然而在高通膨衝擊下，今年經濟成長率表現大不如預期，不僅美國經濟成長率從原先預估3.4%一路下修至1.7%，現在有更多雜音，擔心今年或明年出現經濟負成長。

48Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡOGIlBDcGoL

過去當經濟景氣表現不如預期時，可透過央行降息、寬鬆貨幣政策來支持，可是今年貨幣政策正在收緊，等於沒有金融工具可用。若想靠政府支出也有困難，過去二年疫情衝擊下，各國已經推出了大規模經濟刺激方案，政府已債台高築，是否還有更多餘力來刺激經濟呢?

48Please respect copyright.ＰＥＮＡＮＡ43QPvuN2Nc

蔣明誠先生表示最糟的情境是，全球陷入停滯性通膨，也就是高通膨、低成長或經濟衰退。而這樣的情境對金融市場將有大殺傷力。

13.58.25.33

ns13.58.25.33da2
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蔣明誠投資觀點
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Last updated: Dec 27, 2022
Total word count: 2,308
Total reading time: 8 Minutes
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